Archive for the ‘ Politics ’ Category

The very… very long line of citizens running for President

If someone were to pose the question to you:

“How many men and women in the United States of America are running for President in 2012?”

…how would you answer? Ten, twenty perhaps? Many know the four contenders for the Republican Party Nomination. We know the incumbent President, coasting to re-nomination from his own Democratic Party. And yet, did you know that even the sitting President has to stand against as many as 37 pretenders to the throne of his own party?

Indeed the number of American citizens who have taken the time, effort and expense (at least $5,000) to actually file with the Federal Elections Commission (FEC) is staggering. To date 342 individual citizens have jumped through the requisite hoops to be considered “official” candidates at the Federal level. Official in the sense that they may, should they bounce through similar state-level hoops, in turn appear on individual state ballots. You don’t have to file with the FEC, as Ralph Nader effectively demonstrated in 1996, but it helps.

Our fellow citizens and the labels they attach to themselves:

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Little Putin

The perfect Christmas gift for a Poly Sci major. One of these things is not like the others…

20111226-180344.jpg

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Twitter, Filter Bubbles and a (lack of) patterns in the noise

I am as guilty as the next person for sharing drivel, harsh comments and incongruity on Twitter. Tweeting has an element of vanity and free flow that other services lack. I find myself more sharp tongued and snarky on Twitter than on other social networks. It is difficult to quantify how my tone is on Twitter vs Facebook for example. I do find my usage expanding, year over year and often default to this service for news and content updates. My filter bubble has become largely driven by Twitter interactions (for better or for worse).

A check of my profile on Tweetstats indicates that I tweet 7.3 times each day and the volume remains heavy. My 6,917 tweets play out as follows:

Likewise I gravitate to, and opt to share other’s content ~1/8th of the time, again, from generally a few sources I like and trust. My political news and content consumption, for example, generally comes from two meta sources (@TheFix and @Politico) while I further influence my filter by leaning on a (wicked smart) blogger (@FiveThirtyEight).

(Side note: @DangerRoom (Wired.com), damn cool defense, security technology blog. Just wanted to interject that.)

Looking at my common hashtags… ya know, I don’t know what to make of it…

Guess I like the Dodgers, Virginia… and Curling…

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Presidential Primary Debates Visualized

Curiosity set in last evening as I was reading the highlights of the Republican Presidential Primary Debate in California. I wondered how the terms and catch phrases used last night compared to the previous competitive Democratic Debate in 2008.

Visualizing the transcript from the Barack Obama / Hillary Clinton debate in Philadelphia in April 2008 reveals:

And here we see a visualization of the September 2011 Republican Primary Debate held in the Reagan Library in California:

To be fair there are not many patterns in the noise but I have a few take aways:

  • The primary debate in 2008 was much more about ideas and fuzzy concepts (“people”, “believe”, “opportunity”) while the debate last night appeared to pivot much more on the tangible or concrete. Words like “government, “jobs”, “border”, “State(s)” coming up time and again.
  • Ronald Reagan and attempting to grasp the mantle of Reagan still matter, a lot, to Republican Primary Voters.
  • Mentions of “government” ranked in the top five or six terms for GOP hopefuls and would suspect it was often not shared in polite terms.
  • I am surprised at the relative infrequent mentions of the current President, by name, in last night’s debate. It would appear far more fire was focused on rivals with on-stage broadsides.

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The six rules of public sex scandals

In the context of today’s epic political theater, a Congressman making things orders of magnitude harder on himself than would otherwise be the case… and in light of a truly disgusting political muckraker I offer suggested rules for avoiding (or mitigating the impact of) public sex scandal.

1) Don’t write a personal check to cover the cost of prostitutes.

2) Don’t pander or offer excuses with technical jargon (i.e. “My Twitter account was hacked“), you will sound all the worse to the people who actually know how these systems work.

3) Don’t compel your wife stand next to you, in some act of faux solidarity, at  press conference where your misdeeds are revealed. You will instantly earn the ire of an entire gender.

4) Don’t use a personal cell phone to sext when your significant other knows the unlock code.

5) Don’t use Facebook or Twitter to do anything remotely sexual, it always comes back to haunt you. Pro tip: Computer logs and screenshots have a nasty habit of never going away.

6) And for the love of God, don’t send any photos. Images have the nasty trend of etching themselves in the minds of the public.

Bonus: The coverup is always worse than the act. The lie of the lie always gets you in the end.

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Budget Cuts: The more things change the more they stay the same

With much fanfare the Republican Study Group rolled out their proposals for cuts to Federal spending. No, they did not address the underlying structural challenges that underpin our current crisis. No mention was made of critical entitlement reform or our ballooning defense budgets. No comments were offered concerning the hundreds of billions we spend in defense supplementals to support two, expensive, unfunded wars. Conflicts that are currently draining 2% of our Gross Domestic Product.

No, instead the list offered up included cuts that you might, at first glance, confuse for the Republican Congress, circa 1995. All the old enemies are there, the arts, environmental protection and foreign aid.

Some highlights:

  • Corporation for Public Broadcasting Subsidy. $445 million annual savings.
  • National Endowment for the Arts. $167.5 million annual savings.
  • National Endowment for the Humanities. $167.5 million annual savings.
  • Amtrak Subsidies. $1.565 billion annual savings.
  • U.S. Agency for International Development. $1.39 billion annual savings.

Absent from the list? Any mention of defense cuts. Not a single penny line itemed on the list.

So, in the GOP’s world we devastate the arts, the humanities, public transportation that millions depend upon and we gut efforts around the world to build schools and provide clean water. Never mind the fact that great nations cease to be great nations when you jettison artistic endeavors. Disregard the fact that a few tens of millions of dollars in development funding in the early 1990′s might have averted the rise of the Taliban to power. No, lets set aside logic in spending money around the world to build schools and win hearts and minds. Far better to bomb the hell out of them and have our boys die by roadside bombs. After all, it’s American jobs on those Raytheon assembly lines building Tomahawk cruise missiles that will blow up the schools anyways. Why work for people and stability when you can have an endless cycle of war.

The lack of maturity when dealing with a $14 trillion Dollar debt and deficits is mind blowing. Pot shots at small, impactful programs don’t get you there friends.

I’m hopping mad.

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A case study in how not to run for elected office

Politico just posted a great postmortem on the Nevada Senate campaign and the Sharron Angle inner circle. Even the author’s words do not fully qualify how much of a train wreck this effort, and candidate, truly were. One choice quote:

“In the 20 years that I’ve been involved politically, I’ve never had the misfortune of working with such sheer, utter incompetence. Too much is at stake in these political campaigns — people like Campbell don’t need to be anywhere near them,” said Chris LaCivita, who served as political director for the National Republican Senatorial Committee this fall and worked directly with the Angle campaign. “If they were filming a sequel to the movie ‘Dumb and Dumber,’ Terry Campbell would have a feature role.”

Another favorite:

Campbell frequently pitched unorthodox forms of advertising, such as buying advertisements on closed-circuit television cameras at gyms and hiring a plane to be called “Angle One” for sky-writing the candidate’s name — all of which were criticized as a waste of money by the professional operatives working on the race. At one point, Campbell hired a digital billboard truck with Angle’s face on it that drove around the tourist-drenched Las Vegas Strip — a tactic he referred to as a “game changer,” according to three sources.

At the end of the day I am glad Ms. Angle can spend more time with her family, back home, in Nevada.

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Election 2010 one week out: pluralism, compromise and rebellion

We are now, basically, one week out from the 2010 Midterm and wanted to jot down some thoughts on how things have played out.

As is often the case in elections I find myself disenchanted and frustrated with the choices in front of me. I have the misfortune to live in a Congressional district that is, for all intents and purposes, non-competitive. Eighteen years ago, in the aftermath of the 1990 census a majority-minority district was created in the Commonwealth of Virginia for the first time. What resulted was a “safe” district for Democrats (based on demographics and historical voting trends). Our congressman has run un-opposed for five of the past six elections. This year, while there is (on paper) a qualified challenger, a vote for this alternative is nothing more than a symbolic vote in opposition.

My views on the national stage are no more promising. I look across the political landscape and I see a lot of anger, but emotion that has gestated extremism. I shudder at the thought of Members of Congress, in the 21st century, serving who reject a separation of Church and State. “Congress shall make no law respecting the establishment of religion or prohibiting the free exercise thereof.” Straightforward, and yet we have a slew of political hacks that are running on a moralist crusade to “get our country back”. These same aspirants harbor a desire to erect the Ten Commandments in every classroom. This nation was founded on the principles of dissent and pluralism and yet I note a sea of myopic pols with warped definitions of tolerance and freedom.

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